now as part of our week-long interview
series seeking perspectives from various experts across the globe today we take a
step into whether Japan’s latest string of tightening expert controls in South
Korea and security and economic implications from the escalating
seoul-tokyo dispute joining us live from Washington DC is a Patrick Cronin
asia-pacific Security chair at the Hudson Institute he was formerly VPS the
CSIS Pat thanks for joining us this morning
my pleasure now you’ve publicly discussed extensively on the ongoing
Japan South Korea trade spat in your view are the latest action is taken by
Japan serving that country’s overall interest I mean can we also say that the
move is purely non-political I don’t think any policy is purely non-political
and that’s especially true in a democracy I think president moon is
right that this is a game with no winners at the same time the incentives
politically for both president moon and for Prime Minister Abe a is to talk
tough to their constituencies into their countries so it’s very important for us
to understand this isn’t just something new that just happened but the result of
cumulative disputes there’s actually a history to the history of historical
grievance handling on both sides between Japan and Korea and I think this trade
export issue has been caught up in some of that and now it’s potentially going
to spill over more into the security room as well as the trade realm right
that’s so security Rama I want to get to that in a little bit but this different
out retaliation between the two what are some economic ramifications on the two
economies especially on key industries of obviously semiconductors in South
Korea but which industry in Japan will feel the blow the hardest well first
you’ve got to look at the macro picture there’s already a dispute about the
trading system between the first and second largest economy in the world
between China in the United States and they are trying to
for the future rules of that global trading system now you add to this the
third and twelfth largest economy in Japan and South Korea and you have to
worry that this play within a play is going to further exacerbate global trade
so global trade will slow global growth will slow and then you’re gonna have as
you suggest some specific sectors particularly in the high-technology
areas that are running the digital economy of the 21st century and then
finally there’s also the opportunity cost of what Japan and Korea what Japan
Korean the United States may not be doing together that they would be if
there were more cooperation so rather than any specific sector as in the
semiconductors in computer industry which is an obvious area given the
specific chemicals that are being restricted or forced to go through a new
process this means really a larger hit on the economy of Japan and South Korea
and of course what about the the follow-through knock-on effects for the
for the regional and the global economy well as I suggest the question about the
global trading system is perhaps the number one question around the globe
this is what major economies and major countries are worried about because the
United States feels very strongly that the global trading system is being
exploited by a closed economy China’s economy which has been able to exploit
national champions state-owned enterprises and other Communist Party
rules that the global trading system of the World Trade Organization did not
intend to accommodate it intended to deal with more market democracies like
the Republic of Korea and Japan now this additional spat between Korea and Japan
could reverberate you here Germany already very concerned about the global
supply chains and high technology so this could be something that can is a
contagion that further slows down global growth that affects key economies key
sectors and it exacerbates this fight over the global trading ruleset I want
to go back to the the strategic strategic interest or
a lack thereof because of this trade ro so South Korea Japan and the u.s. have a
trilateral security alliance in this region and it’s it’s a pressing security
threat here on the Korean Peninsula and in the wider Asia and Northeast Asian
region now how does the escalating trade road dent
first of all Japan strategic interest well I think again it’s hard to separate
one country from the others we are in security interdependence among the three
countries we talk about economic interdependence but there’s security
interdependence between in among Korea Japan in the United States how so well
in the handling of North Korea we learned this in the 1990s when we first
had to deal with North Korea’s missile threat former secretary defense bill
Perry had to step in and conduct a brand-new trilateral discussion in the
late 1990s to make sure that we were all realigned and unified and how to deal
with North Korea today we have multiple challenges we have a rising China we
still have the North Korea negotiations and managing North Korea problem and
then we have to look at the wider Indo Pacific and think about the rules that
are gonna be written probably by China if democracies like Korea Japan the
United States are not unified so this is huge implications not just for Japan but
frankly for all three countries absolutely um do you think that
therefore the US will rise to the occasion and try to find a way to nudge
it to Asian allies toward a dispute resolution I mean how do you foresee the
seoul-tokyo settle or can we not see the light at the end of the tunnel of course
mark aspart is in Seoul he was in Japan in the last few days do you see him
playing kind of a mediator role well the United States when it’s asked to play a
mediating role or whether it’s asked whether it should play a mediating role
we feel a little bit like the Asian countries when when they’re saying hey
we don’t want to make a choice between China and the United States United
States also doesn’t want to make a choice between our two for
allies in Northeast Asia both are absolutely essential that’s why once
called the cornerstone once called the linchpin I’m sure secretary Esper is
reinforcing those connections the United States has great Alliance relations
right now with Seoul and Tokyo separately but the weak link is the sole
de Tokyo Nexus that needs to be strengthened so we need to do more we
can do more we can’t solve everything but we can certainly listen and where
things can be done we can probably not only nodes but maybe help find common
ground it’s very important for us to do so I have great confidence that
secretary espera is going to add some very statesmen like words while he’s in
Seoul absolutely the importance of trilateral security Alliance
architecture in this region Pat Cronin asia-pacific chair at Washington based
Hudson Institute many thanks for your insights this morning we appreciate it
thank you

17 thoughts on “S. Korea, Japan row: Implications for Economics, Security, and U.S. Strategic Objectives Expert”

  1. BOYCOTT TOKYO OLYMPICS!! WHOLE WORLD KNOW'S DANGEROUS FUCUSHIMA NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS EXPLODED..
    IT ONLY HAS BEEN ABOUT 8 YEAR'S
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    TOKYO OLYMPICS 2020 IN JAPAN
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  2. Japan has 86 deep state on their Elite , Japan & USA are corraborating to destabilize South Korea. so beware South Korea there someone backstabbing you & you know who they are.

  3. Japan stabs Korea's back. Korea barks back. Other countries are wary of knife holding thug. Simple solution, leave thug out of supply chain. Japan you are NO USA.

  4. Officials from Japan's local government came to Korea's airline two days ago. They begged not to reduce the number of flights from South Korea to Japan. Yesterday, Samsung declared that it would never use Japanese materials and components. Japan then granted export licenses for some of the export-regulated items. Samsung's bus has already left. Now even if Japan shakes hands, Samsung has no intention of giving the spheres a ride. Japan's Mainichi Shimbun quoted a government official as saying that he had no idea the situation would spread like this and that he admitted to making a mistake himself. Goodbye Japanese beggars! Shinkansen to hell, get in there quickly.

  5. Abe+begger= Abegger😆
    Shinkansen to hell, driven by Abe, is ready. Come on. This is the perfect time to start.
    Japnese dwarfs and begger go to hell~!! haha😁😝😆😄

  6. Fucking took kimchi stink stench Goguryeo decent Korea South Bastards!!! Korea needs to be wiped off the face of the! Change Article 9 Remilitarize rearm Rebuild hyper-Militarize the SDF in a reborn revived Imperial Forces of a new Military Giant Reiwa Greater Empire of the Land of the Rising Sun! Dai Nippon Teikoku Tenno Haika Banzi!!!!!!! Revive Thy Empire Of Japan! Then we'll destroy the old former Colony of Chosen…..Chosen-Jin.! Long live the Kamikaze spirit!!! Down with Korea…………We will invade one…just wait….just wait…..We will Storm Busan in a almighty Blitze……when the rises over the west Japan sea South over the glissting waters off Busan beach……your greatest fear shall come…you better free a rematch of war with us?!?! Be careful what you wish fore Chosenjin we have great plans fore the Land where the Sun sets Korear Chosen Jin South.!!!

  7. Long live nthe rise of a rebuilt rearmed Remilitarized nuclear armed drafted high-tech fanatical Self-defense forces!!!

  8. China Russia North Korea USA army, Europe , etc don't like you Stinky smelly skunk Kimchi bastard Korean Bitchs…..do you all forget we Japanese are direct decendents of Proto-Korean namely Goguryeo , Baekje , Balhae , Buyeo And Gaya people's. Huh whatever Racism is so Bizarre these days……………….Fuck Korea…

  9. Japan wants to cut-off all sorts of relationship with S. Korea and concentrate our efforts in developing TPP11 countries. Stop being a stalker to Japan!

  10. Because of the United States, Korea suffered severe economic losses in China. The United States did not compensate Korea for this loss. And now they are trying to charge more for military protection. This is absurd. If Korea is to be paid for military protection from the United States, Korea should be protected without economic damage because of US in any ways. The sanctions against Iran have resulted in the loss of the best oil supplier and disappointing diplomatic relations with Iran for Korea also. What America is doing for Asia is causing bad feelings among Asian countries. If the US begins to use more expensive military equipment in the future, South Korea will have to pay more. The United States lags behind like same technological developments as Japan. The only thing they have is military power and US is becoming like a gangster. They will impose sanctions on the Korean economy if they do not pay what the US wants. They will use the US market share that Korea has as a means of getting what they want. South Korea should move quickly on this to break sanctions on trade with North Korea. Together with North Korea, South Korea can take full advantage of the new African Eurasian South American market. South Korea, along with North Korea, does not need US military protection. The reason is that China and Russia have so much to lose if they go to war with Korea. The United States wants Korea to fully support the US military, so the United States can be a better gangster. Military practices with the United States will upset North Korea because it is a North Korean invasion practice. This is why South Korea can't unify with North Korea, and the US knows this. This is why Korea is forced to join the military movement with the United States. The United States is striving to have an enemy of Korea so that Korea can keep supporting the US military economically. The United States is trying to make money in Korea by putting Korea in a bad situation between other nations around them so they need to join military forces for national security. This is the evil act of making money. The world is not stupid. The world can not say anything to them, because they are powerful and influential forces that can freely sanction any country through the United Nations and other world organizations. Korea should show some significance for US misbehavior in their diplomatic focus. This is a good opportunity to show the world that Korea does not tolerate unreasonable diplomatic actions. If Korea continues to support the US military, many foreigners around the world will not be happy about it. This can prevent a good deal with those countries in the future. Korea should look in the long run. Korea should not comply with all US needs. They are constantly creating enemies like thugs. They want the world to pay for their military protection. It is time for Korea to think about drawing a line in the United States. The United States should not be supported as much as possible. If Korea continues to support the US military, many foreigners around the world will not be happy about it. This can prevent a good economic relations with those countries in the future. Do not be hated by the world because of America. World may think that Korea will do anything to make money. Korea should look in the long run. America is getting poor. Many American companies disappeared like Japanese companies. The United States has become similar to Japan. If Korea and China do not supply 5G, the United States cannot have 5G. Korea should not comply with all US needs. If someone has to point out a forced and irrational diplomatic deal to the United States, it must be South Korea. Without Korea, the United States will not be able to make national technology upgrades for future security and conveniences for public needs. It will not be easy to put economic sanctions against Korea, because US lacks communications and electronics compared to China. It is time for Korea to exercise its strong will. This is because the United States is irrationally behaving with foreign politics. They are acting like thugs. It is out of sense right now for South Korea to keep it's alliance with Japan with their dispute. This dispute is more than just national security of economics but rather more deep feeling against each other about dignity and honer. US may think this is not important so they are asking them to overlook the differences but that's because they do not have much respect for Korea and Japan. US should just step out and handle their own problem they created for them selves. They are creating enemies and making everyone fight their enemy. US is getting ridiculous.

  11. In early August , 2019 , news reports of worrisome concerns in trade partnership between Japan and South Korea have appeared. Japan is reported to have announced that it was removing South Korea from its own “ white list” of countries that have enjoyed minimum trade restrictions , citing an erosion of trust. This was reportedly followed on 13 August , 2019 by signalling of plans by South Korea to remove Japan from a list of countries with fast-track trade status from September 2019 , citing problems with export control measures. These details suggest that all is not well in the trade partnership between Japan and South Korea by August 2019. In this context , it may be apt to refer readers to this Vedic astrology writer’s predictive alerts through article – “ Fresh look and innovation at strategies becoming focus for Japan in coming year 2019 , a Vedic astrology view” – brought to public domain widely last year 2018 in October-November. The text in the article related to aforesaid worrisome concern in the news reports reads like this :-

    “ Planetary indications suggest that Japan may likely have fresh look and innovation at strategies while dealing with or handling country’s trading , economic and security concerns. Some direction in that regard could appear a little before the present year 2018 comes to a close while the period from May to about August , in soon coming year 2019 seems to be well pronounced. Partnership with countries or allies could be in focus”.

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